Palin is not going anywhere, even if McCain losses, it is safe to say that McCain will be out politics by the next decade. Palin, in the other hand, is here to stay for decades. Whether McCain wins or not, Palin becomes a de facto candidate for the GOP nomination of 2012. Add to that a conservative movement that will get energize by being on the opposition and it is clear that Palin will be a force to be reckon with.
The conservative movement is far from dead, it is just taking his cues from the DowJones index and it is a bit less ebullient, but far from gone.
You can twitch in disgust as you said it, but Sarah Palin has an undeniable folksy common touch, she is fun to watch. Whether it comes from a genuine place or not can be debated. The fact is she has it, she is only going to get better at it and this is a very effective tool in the arsenal of any politician.
Democrats don't win elections Republicans loose them. Don't forget that the selection of Sara Paling brought the McCain ticket from 10 behind to a 2 points lead. Only the crash of Wall Street brought the race to where it is now. This is not that different from the mid-term election of 06. You can argue that that election was lost by Mark Foley pedophilic tendencies and Larry Craig’s thirst for anonymous gay sex on the public stool of an airport (It is hard to concocted a more sordid story). Those two event weeks before the election discouraged enough conservatives to give the win to the Democrats
This country is essentially a right to center country, dare I say, a conservative country. I will repeat this; Liberals never win elections. Clinton didn't win his first term, Ross Perot pouched enough Republicans to hand the election to Clinton. Clinton won a second term by stealing the Conservative agenda and implementing it much more effectively than any Republican has done in the last 4 decades. Balancing the budget, shrinking well-fare roles, and increasing prestige and respect on the international arena. He played the conservative dance and was reward it accordingly.
Obama has a lead by appealing to conservatives that would go back to their ingrained bias at the first opportunity.
In four more years Sarah Palin’s main weakness, lack of experience, will have evaporated, just by virtue of sticking around for that long. All she needs to do now is sit pretty, (who says that pageant experience is not useful in politics?) and take the party from McCain, her
She uses her mentors and then discards them. The list of discarded mentors is surprisingly long for somebody with such a short career. John Stein former mayor of Wasilla helped launch her career. for example. Council member Nick Carney who is quoted saying "I called Sarah's campaign for mayor the end of the age of innocence in Wasilla," was also among her early mentors.
There was a knife-sharp, personal edge to Palin's campaign that many locals found disturbing, particularly because of the warm relationship between Palin and Stein before the race.
According to some political observers in Alaska, this pattern -- exploiting "old-boy" mentors and then turning against them for her own advantage -- defines Sarah Palin's rise to power. Again and again, Palin has charmed powerful political patrons, and then rejected them when it suited her purposes. She has crafted a public image as a clean politics reformer, but in truth, she has only blown the whistle on political corruption when it was expedient for her to do so. Above all, Palin is a dynamo of ambition, shrewdly maneuvering her way through the notoriously compromised world of Alaska politics, making and breaking alliances along the way
Of the four candidates in the ticket, Sarah Palin has a great hand to play, the possibilities are wide open ahead of her. Obama in the other hand
So let’s make room for Sarah Palin, she is here to stay.